Predicted El Nino Slow To Show

(WNAX) — While an El Nino weather condition has been predicted for some time, it has been slow to arrive. Doug Kluck, Climate Service Director for the Central Region of the National Weather Service, says they are now seeing more evidence of its arrival…

“That recognition or that sort of the atmosphere and ocean sort of start working together normally more in the November December sometimes January time frame so what’s happening this year it’s a late start if you will to that El Nino situation. Even though we had a lot of the things in place for that get going earlier it didn’t really get going in terms of the atmosphere until till now.”

An El Nino occurs when southern Pacific Ocean surface temperature rise above long term normals. That can have a significant impact on North American weather. Kluck says there are some typical effects…

“If you look at all the El Nino charts and how they affect North America generally…what it generally means during the winter time and I’m really talking December, January, February now is that you have… you tend to have…you lean towards warmer conditions across the northern oh, northwestern areas of the United States.”

Kluck says it also looks like this El Nino will be fairly weak…

“We haven’t necessarily seen that because those interactions haven’t happened the way they were supposed to or we thought they might earlier in the year, so now we’re sort of…it sort of evolving into this sort late El Nino situation. This is also a very weak El Nino so its impact is not going to be as great as some of the, if you will monster El Ninos as you heard of or Godzilla El Ninos that we have heard of in the past.”

Kluck says most forecasts agree that the El Nino will fade by early to mid-summer.